Presidential Predictions 2024 Lichtman. Allan lichtman has correctly predicted 9 of the 10 most recent presidential races. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), lichtman had been predicting trump’s win since september 2016.

Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), lichtman had been predicting trump’s win since september 2016. Allan lichtman has accurately predicted almost every presidential race since 1984—and he says there will be a clear winner in november.